Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Insights, Size, and Forecast By End Use Industry (Utilities, Manufacturing, Oil and Gas, Mining, Construction), By Application (Motor Control, Power Distribution, Renewable Energy Integration, HVAC Systems), By Product Type (Single Pole, Two Pole, Three Pole, Four Pole), By Installation Type (Indoor, Outdoor), By Region (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa), Key Companies, Competitive Analysis, Trends, and Projections for 2026-2035
Key Market Insights
Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market is projected to grow from USD 3.85 Billion in 2025 to USD 6.42 Billion by 2035, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 6.7% from 2026 through 2035. This robust growth underscores the increasing demand for reliable and efficient power switching solutions across various industries. Medium voltage vacuum contactors are essential components in electrical distribution systems, utilized for frequent switching of loads and providing protection against overcurrents and short circuits. Their inherent advantages, such as compact size, long operational life, low maintenance requirements, and environmental friendliness due to the absence of insulating gases, are key drivers. The market is propelled by a confluence of factors including rapid industrialization and urbanization, particularly in emerging economies, leading to a significant expansion of power infrastructure. Furthermore, the growing adoption of renewable energy sources, which necessitates sophisticated grid integration and control mechanisms, further fuels demand. The modernization of aging electrical grids in developed nations to enhance efficiency and reliability also presents a substantial market opportunity. The three pole product type segment currently holds the dominant share, reflecting its widespread application across industrial and commercial settings where three phase power systems are standard.
Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Value (USD Billion) Analysis, 2025-2035
2025 - 2035
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Several important trends are shaping the trajectory of the medium voltage vacuum contactors market. There's a noticeable shift towards smart grid technologies and automation, leading to increased integration of digital control and monitoring capabilities within contactors. This enhances operational efficiency, predictive maintenance, and overall system reliability. Furthermore, stringent regulatory frameworks focused on energy efficiency and environmental sustainability are compelling manufacturers to innovate and develop contactors with reduced power consumption and a smaller carbon footprint. The increasing demand for customized solutions tailored to specific industry requirements, such as those in mining, oil and gas, and data centers, is also a significant trend. However, the market faces certain restraints, including the relatively high initial investment cost associated with advanced vacuum contactors compared to traditional alternatives. Additionally, the complexity of design and integration for specific applications can pose challenges for some end users. Opportunities abound in the development of cost effective and highly reliable contactors, particularly for niche applications and developing markets. Expansion into emerging applications such as electric vehicle charging infrastructure and advanced manufacturing facilities also presents lucrative avenues for growth.
Asia Pacific is the dominant region in the global market, driven by extensive infrastructure development, rapid industrial expansion, and significant investments in renewable energy projects across countries in the region. The swift pace of urbanization and industrialization, coupled with government initiatives to upgrade power grids, is contributing significantly to this dominance. The region is also experiencing the fastest growth, primarily due to ongoing economic development, the continuous expansion of manufacturing bases, and the escalating demand for electricity across diverse sectors. Key players like Emerson Electric, Schneider Electric, Eaton, Siemens, and General Electric are actively pursuing strategies focused on product innovation, geographical expansion, and strategic partnerships to strengthen their market presence. These companies are investing heavily in research and development to introduce advanced contactor solutions that meet evolving customer needs for enhanced safety, efficiency, and smart capabilities. Furthermore, mergers and acquisitions remain a key strategy for expanding product portfolios and market reach, particularly in high growth regions.
Quick Stats
Market Size (2025):
USD 3.85 BillionProjected Market Size (2035):
USD 6.42 BillionLeading Segment:
Three Pole (72.8% Share)Dominant Region (2025):
Asia Pacific (43.2% Share)CAGR (2026-2035):
6.7%
Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Emerging Trends and Insights
Smart Grid Integration Ascending
Smart grid modernization projects are significantly driving demand for medium voltage vacuum contactors. The increasing adoption of digital substations, renewable energy integration, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure necessitates advanced power switching solutions. As grids become more intelligent and decentralized, there's a heightened need for reliable, maintenance free contactors capable of frequent operation and remote control. These contactors are crucial for smart grid functions like fault current interruption, load management, and voltage regulation across various distribution networks. The trend reflects a shift towards more resilient and automated power systems, where vacuum technology offers superior performance over traditional alternatives, making it indispensable for modern grid upgrades and expansion globally.
Renewable Energy Driving Demand
The global medium voltage vacuum contactors market is experiencing a significant uplift in demand, directly propelled by the expanding renewable energy sector. As nations increasingly prioritize decarbonization, investments in solar farms, wind power installations, and other sustainable energy projects are soaring. These renewable energy facilities critically rely on medium voltage vacuum contactors for efficient power switching, circuit protection, and reliable operation within their complex grids. The intermittent nature of renewable energy sources necessitates robust and responsive contactors to manage power fluctuations and ensure grid stability. Furthermore, the construction of new transmission and distribution infrastructure to integrate these renewable sources into national grids further fuels the need for these contactors. This sustained global push towards clean energy is becoming the primary driver for sustained growth in medium voltage vacuum contactor sales.
Digitization Enhancing Performance
Digitization is profoundly impacting global medium voltage vacuum contactors, significantly enhancing their performance and operational efficiency. Integrated smart sensors and communication modules are enabling real time monitoring of critical parameters like temperature, current, and arc duration. This data driven approach facilitates predictive maintenance, allowing for proactive component replacement before failure occurs, thereby minimizing downtime and extending service life.
Furthermore, remote diagnostics capabilities are streamlining troubleshooting processes, reducing the need for on site inspections and speeding up resolutions. Advanced control algorithms, powered by digital processing, optimize switching operations, improving reliability and reducing electrical stress on the system. Integration with broader Industrial Internet of Things IIoT platforms allows these contactors to become intelligent components within smart grids and automated industrial systems, contributing to more resilient and efficient power distribution networks globally. This digital transformation translates directly into higher uptime, reduced operational costs, and improved overall system performance.
What are the Key Drivers Shaping the Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market
Grid Modernization & Renewable Energy Integration
Grid modernization and renewable energy integration is a significant driver for medium voltage vacuum contactors. Aging electrical grids require substantial upgrades to handle the increasing complexity of modern power systems. This includes integrating intermittent renewable energy sources like solar and wind power, which necessitate advanced switching and control capabilities. Vacuum contactors are essential for safely and reliably connecting and disconnecting these renewable generators to the grid, managing power fluctuations, and protecting equipment from overcurrents and short circuits. Furthermore, smart grid initiatives focused on automation, demand response, and energy efficiency rely on these contactors for seamless operation and enhanced grid stability, driving their demand within the evolving energy landscape.
Industrial Automation & Infrastructure Development
Industrial automation fuels the demand for medium voltage vacuum contactors by integrating them into sophisticated machinery and control systems. Factories require these contactors to manage the power distribution and switching for robotic arms, assembly lines, and high power manufacturing equipment. The increasing adoption of smart factories and Industry 4.0 initiatives further accelerates this trend, as automated processes rely on robust and reliable electrical components for seamless operation and enhanced productivity.
Infrastructure development, encompassing power grids, transportation networks, and commercial buildings, also drives sales. New substations, railway electrification projects, and large scale construction necessitate vacuum contactors for efficient and safe power management. These contactors are crucial for protecting electrical systems from overcurrents and short circuits, ensuring the continuous and stable operation of critical infrastructure.
Enhanced Safety & Reliability Standards
Stricter regulatory requirements and heightened industrial expectations are pivotal in driving demand for medium voltage vacuum contactors. Industries across the globe, especially power generation, oil and gas, and manufacturing, prioritize equipment that offers superior operational safety for personnel and critical assets. This translates to a greater need for contactors with enhanced breaking capabilities, improved insulation, and extended operational lifespans to minimize the risk of electrical faults, fires, and unexpected downtime. Manufacturers are responding by incorporating advanced materials and robust designs, ensuring their products meet increasingly stringent international safety and reliability benchmarks. This emphasis on preventing catastrophic failures and ensuring uninterrupted power supply is a core reason for the sustained growth in the vacuum contactor market.
Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Restraints
Supply Chain Disruptions & Raw Material Cost Volatility
Global sales of medium voltage vacuum contactors face a significant hurdle from supply chain disruptions and raw material cost volatility. Manufacturing these crucial components relies heavily on a consistent flow of specialized metals like copper, silver, and tungsten, along with ceramic and vacuum interrupter materials. Geopolitical events, trade disputes, natural disasters, and pandemics can interrupt the extraction, processing, and transportation of these essential inputs. This leads to unpredictable delays in production, increased lead times for customers, and potential stockouts. Simultaneously, fluctuating raw material prices directly impact manufacturing costs, forcing companies to absorb higher expenses or pass them on to end users, making vacuum contactors less competitive. Both factors hinder market growth and create uncertainty for manufacturers and buyers alike.
Intense Price Competition from Established Players
New entrants and smaller manufacturers in the global medium voltage vacuum contactors market face substantial hurdles due to intense price competition from established players. These long standing companies benefit from economies of scale, optimized production processes, and strong supplier relationships, allowing them to offer their products at highly competitive prices. This creates a significant barrier for newer or smaller firms trying to gain market share. They struggle to match the aggressive pricing strategies of larger incumbents, often needing to compromise on profit margins or invest heavily in cost reduction to compete. Customers, prioritizing cost effectiveness, are often drawn to the lower prices offered by established manufacturers, making it difficult for new entrants to penetrate the market and achieve sustainable growth.
Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Opportunities
Decarbonization Initiatives and Grid Modernization Driving Demand
Decarbonization initiatives worldwide are fundamentally reshaping energy landscapes, creating immense demand for medium voltage vacuum contactors. The global transition towards renewable energy sources like solar and wind power necessitates extensive new grid infrastructure for their integration. These intermittent power sources and associated energy storage systems require frequent, reliable, and high performance switching devices to manage power flow and ensure grid stability. Vacuum contactors excel in these applications due to their superior arc quenching capabilities and extended operational life, making them ideal for the demanding cycles of renewable energy integration.
Concurrently, grid modernization efforts across developed and emerging economies are driving massive upgrades of existing electrical grids. This includes replacing aging infrastructure, implementing smart grid technologies for enhanced automation and efficiency, and facilitating distributed power generation. Modern grids demand resilient, safe, and environmentally sustainable components capable of handling increased load complexities. Medium voltage vacuum contactors, with their inherent safety, environmental benefits over SF6 alternatives, and reliability in critical switching operations, are indispensable for building future proof, smarter, and more robust power distribution networks. This dual push forms a potent opportunity for market growth.
Aging Infrastructure Replacement and Industrial Automation Upgrades
The global medium voltage vacuum contactors market benefits immensely from two powerful trends. Aging electrical infrastructure worldwide necessitates extensive replacement. Decades old grids and industrial power systems, prevalent across mature economies and rapidly developing regions, are often unreliable, inefficient, and unsafe. This mandates upgrading legacy switching devices with modern, safer, and more efficient vacuum contactors, driving substantial demand for new installations. Concurrently, the relentless global push towards industrial automation creates a significant parallel opportunity. Industries modernizing operations to enhance productivity, reduce downtime, and improve safety require advanced electrical components for precise and reliable control. Vacuum contactors, with their extended operational life and superior switching performance, are indispensable for controlling motors, transformers, and other medium voltage loads within automated production lines and smart grids. This transition from manual to automated processes fuels consistent demand for advanced vacuum contactor solutions globally, ensuring system reliability and efficiency.
Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Segmentation Analysis
Key Market Segments
By Application
- •Motor Control
- •Power Distribution
- •Renewable Energy Integration
- •HVAC Systems
By End Use Industry
- •Utilities
- •Manufacturing
- •Oil and Gas
- •Mining
- •Construction
By Product Type
- •Single Pole
- •Two Pole
- •Three Pole
- •Four Pole
By Installation Type
- •Indoor
- •Outdoor
Segment Share By Application
Share, By Application, 2025 (%)
- Motor Control
- Power Distribution
- Renewable Energy Integration
- HVAC Systems
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Why is Three Pole dominating the Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market?
Three Pole contactors secure a substantial majority share due to their indispensable role in three phase power systems, which are standard across most industrial and utility operations. Their robust design provides reliable switching and protection for medium voltage motors, transformers, and distribution networks. This inherent compatibility and efficiency with existing electrical infrastructure makes Three Pole variants the preferred and often mandatory choice, cementing their leading position in the global market.
Which applications are key drivers for Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors?
Motor Control and Power Distribution are fundamental drivers for demand. Vacuum contactors are essential for the safe and efficient operation of medium voltage motors in manufacturing and mining, ensuring precise control and protection. Simultaneously, their use in Power Distribution systems is critical for grid stability, fault isolation, and switching capabilities. Renewable Energy Integration is also rapidly growing, requiring these contactors for connecting and protecting diverse renewable power sources to the grid.
How do different end use industries and installation types shape demand?
Utilities and Manufacturing sectors are major consumers, driving demand for both indoor and outdoor installations. Utilities rely on these contactors for power grid management, substations, and distribution networks, often requiring outdoor resistant designs. Manufacturing utilizes them extensively for motor control centers and power management within factories. The construction and mining industries also contribute significantly, demanding robust indoor and outdoor solutions for heavy machinery and temporary power setups in challenging environments.
Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Regulatory and Policy Environment Analysis
The global medium voltage vacuum contactors market operates within a complex web of international and national regulations. Key drivers include stringent safety standards promulgated by bodies like IEC and ANSI, dictating design, testing, and operational parameters to ensure reliability and prevent electrical hazards. Environmental policies are increasingly influential. Regulations like RoHS and REACH restrict hazardous substances in electrical equipment, prompting manufacturers to adopt compliant materials. Furthermore, the global push to phase out sulfur hexafluoride SF6 in switchgear applications significantly boosts demand for vacuum technology as a sustainable alternative due to SF6’s high global warming potential.
Energy efficiency mandates, while often targeting broader systems, indirectly encourage the use of advanced components that minimize losses. Grid codes and interconnection standards, particularly for renewable energy integration and smart grid initiatives, require contactors that meet specific performance and reliability criteria. Product certification and conformity assessment schemes, such as CE marking for Europe or UL certification for North America, are essential for market access and compliance. Trade policies and tariffs also shape global supply chains and competitive landscapes, necessitating adaptable manufacturing and distribution strategies.
Which Emerging Technologies Are Driving New Trends in the Market?
The global medium voltage vacuum contactors market is seeing significant innovation, pushing boundaries in performance and application. Emerging technologies are heavily focused on digitalization and smart grid integration, embedding Internet of Things capabilities for real time monitoring, remote diagnostics, and predictive maintenance. This shift enhances operational efficiency and reduces downtime across industrial, utility, and infrastructure sectors.
Advancements in materials science are leading to more durable and efficient vacuum interrupters, extending product lifespan and improving arc quenching capabilities. This contributes to greater reliability and safety, especially in demanding environments like heavy industry and renewable energy generation. Furthermore, manufacturers are developing more compact and modular designs, allowing for easier integration into space constrained substations and modern energy distribution networks. The push for greener solutions also drives innovation, ensuring these technologies remain environmentally sound and align with global sustainability goals. Integrated sensor technology and data analytics are transforming contactors into intelligent components within broader energy management systems.
Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Regional Analysis
Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market
Trends, by Region
Asia-Pacific Market
Revenue Share, 2025
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Dominant Region
Asia Pacific · 43.2% share
Asia Pacific unequivocally dominates the Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market, commanding a substantial 43.2% share. This leadership is propelled by rapid industrialization and urbanization across major economies like China and India. Escalating demand for reliable power distribution infrastructure, coupled with robust investments in renewable energy projects, fuels this regional ascendancy. Furthermore, the expansion of manufacturing sectors and the modernization of existing grids drive significant adoption of medium voltage vacuum contactors. Government initiatives promoting smart grid development and energy efficiency also contribute substantially to the region's prominent market position, fostering a fertile ground for continued growth and technological advancement in power switching solutions.
Fastest Growing Region
Asia Pacific · 7.9% CAGR
Asia Pacific emerges as the fastest growing region in the global medium voltage vacuum contactors sales market, projected at a robust 7.9% CAGR from 2026 to 2035. This significant growth is propelled by rapid industrialization and urbanization across key economies like China and India. Expanding manufacturing sectors, substantial investments in smart grid infrastructure, and the increasing demand for reliable power distribution systems are primary drivers. Furthermore, the region's focus on renewable energy integration necessitates advanced contactor technologies for efficient power management. Government initiatives promoting sustainable energy solutions and grid modernization further fuel this impressive market expansion in Asia Pacific.
Impact of Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Factors
Geopolitically, the Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors market faces shifting dynamics. Trade disputes and protectionist policies, particularly between major economic blocs like the US and China, could disrupt supply chains and increase manufacturing costs for key components. Regional conflicts and political instability in resource rich areas may impact raw material availability and prices for critical metals used in contactor production. Furthermore, government initiatives promoting smart grids and renewable energy infrastructure in Europe and North America offer growth opportunities, while inconsistent regulatory frameworks in developing economies could hinder market expansion. Cybersecurity concerns surrounding grid infrastructure also demand robust security features in contactors, potentially driving innovation and specialized demand.
Macroeconomically, the market’s trajectory is tied to global industrialization and infrastructure development. Economic slowdowns, inflation, and higher interest rates could defer or cancel large utility and industrial projects, thereby suppressing demand. Conversely, strong GDP growth and increased private sector investment in manufacturing and commercial construction will stimulate demand for medium voltage equipment, including vacuum contactors. Energy transition efforts globally, driven by climate change mitigation, are fueling significant investment in renewable energy generation and transmission, a key demand driver. Fluctuations in commodity prices, particularly for copper and steel, directly impact production costs and final product pricing. Lastly, technological advancements in smart grid integration and digitalization will create opportunities for advanced contactor solutions.
Recent Developments
- March 2025
Schneider Electric announced a strategic initiative to expand its smart grid solutions portfolio, integrating advanced IoT capabilities into its medium voltage vacuum contactors. This move aims to enhance remote monitoring, predictive maintenance, and overall grid reliability for industrial and utility customers.
- February 2025
ABB launched its new eco-efficient vacuum contactor series, designed with sustainable materials and improved energy efficiency for medium voltage applications. This product launch responds to growing industry demand for environmentally friendly and cost-effective power distribution solutions.
- January 2025
Siemens announced a partnership with a leading renewable energy developer to supply its medium voltage vacuum contactors for several large-scale solar power projects. This collaboration underscores Siemens' commitment to supporting the global energy transition and strengthening its presence in the renewable energy sector.
- April 2025
Eaton completed the acquisition of a specialized control technology company, aiming to integrate advanced protection and control features into its existing medium voltage vacuum contactor product line. This acquisition is expected to bolster Eaton's market position by offering more comprehensive and intelligent power management solutions.
Key Players Analysis
Emerson, Schneider, Eaton, Siemens, and ABB are key players in the global medium voltage vacuum contactors market, offering crucial switching and protection solutions. They leverage advanced vacuum interrupter technology for superior performance. Strategic initiatives include R&D for enhanced arc suppression and increased current ratings. Market growth is driven by rising industrial and infrastructure development demanding reliable power distribution equipment.
List of Key Companies:
- Emerson Electric
- Schneider Electric
- Eaton
- Siemens
- General Electric
- Crompton Greaves
- CBI Electric
- Rockwell Automation
- Mitsubishi Electric
- ABB
- Kilovac
- Havells India
- Toshiba
- Sajem
- Honeywell
Report Scope and Segmentation
| Report Component | Description |
|---|---|
| Market Size (2025) | USD 3.85 Billion |
| Forecast Value (2035) | USD 6.42 Billion |
| CAGR (2026-2035) | 6.7% |
| Base Year | 2025 |
| Historical Period | 2020-2025 |
| Forecast Period | 2026-2035 |
| Segments Covered |
|
| Regional Analysis |
|
Table of Contents:
List of Figures
List of Tables
Table 1: Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 2: Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use Industry, 2020-2035
Table 3: Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Product Type, 2020-2035
Table 4: Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Installation Type, 2020-2035
Table 5: Global Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Region, 2020-2035
Table 6: North America Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 7: North America Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use Industry, 2020-2035
Table 8: North America Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Product Type, 2020-2035
Table 9: North America Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Installation Type, 2020-2035
Table 10: North America Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country, 2020-2035
Table 11: Europe Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 12: Europe Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use Industry, 2020-2035
Table 13: Europe Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Product Type, 2020-2035
Table 14: Europe Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Installation Type, 2020-2035
Table 15: Europe Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035
Table 16: Asia Pacific Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 17: Asia Pacific Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use Industry, 2020-2035
Table 18: Asia Pacific Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Product Type, 2020-2035
Table 19: Asia Pacific Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Installation Type, 2020-2035
Table 20: Asia Pacific Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035
Table 21: Latin America Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 22: Latin America Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use Industry, 2020-2035
Table 23: Latin America Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Product Type, 2020-2035
Table 24: Latin America Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Installation Type, 2020-2035
Table 25: Latin America Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035
Table 26: Middle East & Africa Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 27: Middle East & Africa Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use Industry, 2020-2035
Table 28: Middle East & Africa Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Product Type, 2020-2035
Table 29: Middle East & Africa Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Installation Type, 2020-2035
Table 30: Middle East & Africa Medium Voltage Vacuum Contactors Sales Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035