
Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Insights, Size, and Forecast By End Use (Onshore Wind Farms, Offshore Wind Farms), By Gearbox Type (Helical Gearbox, Planetary Gearbox, Hybrid Gearbox), By Service Type (Repair, Refurbishment, Replacement), By Operational Capacity (Below 1 MW, 1 MW - 2.5 MW, Above 2.5 MW), By Region (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa), Key Companies, Competitive Analysis, Trends, and Projections for 2026-2035
Key Market Insights
Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market is projected to grow from USD 11.8 Billion in 2025 to USD 23.5 Billion by 2035, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 8.7% from 2026 through 2035. This market encompasses the services and solutions for maintaining, repairing, and upgrading the gearboxes integral to wind turbines across their operational lifespan. A pivotal component, the gearbox translates the slow rotational speed of the turbine blades into the high speed required by the generator. As the global wind energy capacity continues to expand, the aging fleet of operational turbines necessitates sophisticated maintenance strategies to ensure optimal performance and extend asset life. Key market drivers include the increasing average age of operational wind farms, the escalating costs associated with full gearbox replacements, and the growing focus on maximizing the return on investment for existing wind energy assets. Furthermore, the imperative for sustainable energy production and the drive towards reducing operational expenditures within the wind energy sector are significantly fueling demand for repair and refurbishment services. Important trends shaping this market include the rise of predictive maintenance technologies, leveraging IoT and AI for early fault detection, and the development of modular repair solutions that minimize downtime. Conversely, market restraints include the high capital investment required for specialized repair facilities and skilled labor, as well as the logistical challenges of transporting large, heavy gearboxes for offsite repairs.
Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Value (USD Billion) Analysis, 2025-2035

2025 - 2035
www.makdatainsights.com
Europe currently dominates the global market for wind turbine gearbox repair and refurbishment, largely due to its early and extensive adoption of wind energy. The region boasts a mature wind energy infrastructure with a significant number of aging turbines, creating a substantial demand for ongoing maintenance and life extension services. Government incentives supporting renewable energy and a well-established network of service providers further contribute to Europe's leading position. Asia Pacific is emerging as the fastest growing region, driven by massive investments in new wind energy installations, particularly in countries like China and India. As these new installations mature, the demand for repair and refurbishment services will surge, compounded by a growing awareness of the economic benefits of maintaining existing assets rather than premature replacement. Significant market opportunities lie in the development of advanced materials and repair techniques that enhance gearbox durability, the expansion of on site repair capabilities to reduce logistical complexities, and the provision of integrated service contracts that offer comprehensive maintenance solutions. The increasing adoption of offshore wind farms, while currently a smaller segment, presents a niche opportunity for specialized repair services due to the unique operational challenges and higher component stresses in marine environments.
The market is characterized by a mix of original equipment manufacturers and independent service providers. Vestas Wind Systems, a prominent wind turbine manufacturer, actively participates in the repair and refurbishment market, leveraging its deep product knowledge. Similarly, ZF Friedrichshafen AG and Voith Group, renowned for their transmission expertise, offer specialized gearbox services. Companies like Senvion and MHI Vestas Offshore Wind focus on maintaining their turbine fleets. Key players are strategically expanding their service portfolios, investing in research and development for innovative repair solutions, and forging partnerships to enhance their geographical reach and technical capabilities. For instance, some players are acquiring smaller, specialized repair companies to broaden their in house expertise. Others are developing condition monitoring systems to provide proactive maintenance, thereby reducing the likelihood of catastrophic failures and extending gearbox life. The leading segment, onshore wind farms, holds a substantial share due to their widespread deployment and the sheer volume of operational turbines requiring maintenance. The focus on life cycle cost optimization and asset performance improvement will continue to drive growth and innovation within this essential market.
Quick Stats
Market Size (2025):
USD 11.8 BillionProjected Market Size (2035):
USD 23.5 BillionLeading Segment:
Onshore Wind Farms (89.4% Share)Dominant Region (2025):
Europe (38.2% Share)CAGR (2026-2035):
8.7%
Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Emerging Trends and Insights
Predictive Maintenance Driven Service Expansion
Wind turbine operators are increasingly adopting predictive maintenance strategies for gearboxes. Instead of reactive repairs, sensors and data analytics now forecast potential failures well in advance. This shift is driving a significant service expansion for repair and refurbishment companies. They are moving beyond simply fixing broken gearboxes to offering comprehensive, data driven reliability solutions. This includes advanced diagnostics, proactive component replacement, and optimized maintenance scheduling, all aimed at maximizing turbine uptime and reducing overall operational costs. Repair providers are evolving into partners, delivering continuous performance improvements rather than just transactional repairs. This trend signifies a shift from reactive repair to proactive asset management within the global wind sector, transforming the traditional gearbox service model.
Circular Economy Solutions for Gearbox Lifecycle
The wind energy sector increasingly adopts circular economy principles for gearbox lifecycle management. This trend focuses on extending the operational life of existing gearboxes through advanced repair and refurbishment instead of immediate replacement. Companies are developing innovative solutions for component reuse remanufacturing and material recovery from decommissioned gearboxes. This minimizes waste reduces the demand for new raw materials and lowers the carbon footprint associated with manufacturing and transportation of new units. Predictive maintenance and digital twins play crucial roles in identifying potential failures early enabling targeted repairs and prolonging asset utility. The emphasis is shifting towards maximizing value from every gearbox throughout its entire service life fostering sustainability and resource efficiency in the global wind industry.
Digitally Enhanced Field Repair and Modernization
Digitally enhanced field repair and modernization is revolutionizing wind turbine gearbox services. This trend leverages advanced technologies like augmented reality AR wearables and real time remote diagnostics to empower technicians on site. Instead of solely relying on traditional manual inspections and paper manuals technicians now access live schematics detailed repair instructions and collaborate with remote experts through digital overlays. This significantly accelerates troubleshooting reduces human error and enhances the quality of repairs performed directly at the wind farm. Furthermore predictive analytics fueled by sensor data informs preventative maintenance allowing for proactive component replacement and optimization of gearbox performance. This proactive and digitally assisted approach minimizes downtime extends asset life and optimizes operational efficiency across the global wind fleet.
What are the Key Drivers Shaping the Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market
Aging Wind Turbine Fleet & Asset Management Strategies
As wind turbines age, their gearboxes experience increased wear and tear, leading to higher failure rates. This aging fleet necessitates more frequent repair and refurbishment of gearboxes to maintain operational efficiency and extend asset life. Many older turbines are reaching their design life, intensifying the demand for specialist services to keep them producing power. Instead of costly full replacements, wind farm operators are increasingly opting for refurbishment as a more economical and sustainable solution. This strategic shift towards extending the lifespan of existing assets directly fuels the growth of the gearbox repair and refurbishment market by creating a continuous need for these specialized services across the globe.
Focus on Renewable Energy Reliability & Extended Lifespan
Wind energy stakeholders are increasingly prioritizing the long term reliability and operational lifespan of turbine components, particularly gearboxes. This focus stems from a desire to maximize energy output and reduce the overall cost of ownership. As renewable energy mandates grow, a consistent and uninterrupted power supply becomes paramount. Unscheduled downtime due to gearbox failures significantly impacts energy production and profitability. Consequently, there's a strong push towards repair and refurbishment services that can not only fix existing issues but also enhance the durability and operational efficiency of gearboxes, extending their useful life. This ensures a more dependable and sustainable contribution of wind power to the energy grid, addressing the evolving needs of the renewable energy sector.
Cost-Effectiveness of Repair vs. Replacement for Gearboxes
The cost effectiveness of repairing an existing gearbox versus acquiring a brand new replacement is a primary market driver. Wind farm operators constantly evaluate whether extending the life of an installed gearbox through refurbishment offers greater economic benefit than investing in a complete unit swap. Factors include the extent of damage the availability and price of spare parts skilled labor costs and the projected lifespan of the repaired component. If repair costs are significantly lower and the refurbished gearbox can perform reliably for an extended period this option becomes highly attractive reducing capital expenditure and minimizing turbine downtime. This economic calculation directly fuels demand for repair and refurbishment services over outright replacement purchases.
Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Restraints
Lack of Standardized Repair Protocols and Certifications
The absence of standardized repair procedures and certifications presents a significant impediment within the global wind turbine gearbox repair and refurbishment market. Without universally accepted guidelines for assessing damage, executing repairs, and validating the quality of refurbished components, inconsistencies abound. This lack of uniformity creates uncertainty for asset owners who struggle to gauge the reliability and longevity of repaired gearboxes. Furthermore, it hinders fair competition among service providers as their repair methodologies cannot be objectively compared. The absence of a consistent certification framework also complicates regulatory oversight and can lead to varying safety and performance standards across different regions and repair shops, ultimately impacting the trustworthiness and cost-effectiveness of refurbishment services.
High Logistics Costs and Downtime for Turbine Component Transport
Transporting large turbine gearboxes and their components globally presents a significant logistical hurdle. The sheer size and weight necessitate specialized vehicles, permits, and handling equipment, leading to substantial expenses. Shipping these critical parts across continents, often requiring multimodal transport combining sea, road, and occasionally air freight, inflates costs further. Moreover, the extensive planning and coordination involved in such complex movements often result in prolonged transit times. This extended downtime for a malfunctioning turbine translates directly into lost energy production and revenue for wind farm operators. The risk of damage during transport further exacerbates these concerns, demanding stringent packaging and insurance, all adding to the overall cost burden and operational delays for repair and refurbishment services.
Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Opportunities
Unlocking Value: Extending Wind Turbine Lifespan and Reducing O&M Costs Through Advanced Gearbox Refurbishment
The opportunity Unlocking Value focuses on significantly enhancing the operational and financial viability of existing wind turbines. It involves leveraging advanced gearbox refurbishment to extend the operational lifespan of these critical energy assets. Sophisticated refurbishment techniques, often incorporating upgraded materials and improved designs, restore gearbox performance to near original condition, preventing costly early decommissioning. This proactive approach directly reduces substantial operational and maintenance expenses by mitigating major component failures and minimizing unplanned downtime. Refurbishment is a more cost effective solution than full gearbox replacement, maximizing asset utilization and ensuring greater reliability. This strategy ultimately optimizes existing infrastructure investments, boosts energy generation potential over a longer period, and improves overall return on investment for wind farm operators globally.
Driving Circularity & Efficiency: Capitalizing on the Demand for Sustainable Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair Solutions
The global wind industry increasingly seeks sustainable solutions, presenting a significant opportunity in gearbox repair and refurbishment. As asset owners prioritize extending the operational life of wind turbines, the demand for circular economy approaches accelerates. Capitalizing on this involves developing and delivering advanced repair technologies that restore gearboxes to optimal performance, often exceeding original specifications, with a reduced environmental footprint. This strategy directly addresses the need for operational efficiency by offering cost-effective alternatives to new component acquisition, minimizing turbine downtime, and conserving precious raw materials. Providers who can offer reliable, high-quality, and environmentally responsible repair solutions will thrive. This includes specialized services focusing on material recovery, advanced diagnostics, and precision engineering for long term reliability, particularly crucial in rapidly expanding markets globally, enhancing the sector’s green transition.
Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Segmentation Analysis
Key Market Segments
By Service Type
- •Repair
- •Refurbishment
- •Replacement
By Gearbox Type
- •Helical Gearbox
- •Planetary Gearbox
- •Hybrid Gearbox
By End Use
- •Onshore Wind Farms
- •Offshore Wind Farms
By Operational Capacity
- •Below 1 MW
- •1 MW - 2.5 MW
- •Above 2.5 MW
Segment Share By Service Type
Share, By Service Type, 2025 (%)
- Repair
- Refurbishment
- Replacement

www.makdatainsights.com
Why are Onshore Wind Farms dominating the Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market?
Onshore wind farms command a significant majority share primarily due to their extensive global deployment and longer operational history compared to offshore installations. The sheer volume of onshore turbines, many of which are aging and experiencing wear and tear, creates a consistently high demand for gearbox repair and refurbishment services. Their accessibility also often makes these services more logistically feasible and cost effective than for offshore counterparts.
How do different service types influence the Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market?
The market is distinctly shaped by service types: repair, refurbishment, and replacement. Repair addresses specific faults to restore functionality quickly. Refurbishment involves a more comprehensive overhaul, extending the gearbox's operational life significantly by replacing key components and improving performance. While replacement is occasionally necessary for severely damaged units, the economic benefits and sustainability aspects of repair and refurbishment drive their prominence.
What impact do gearbox types and operational capacities have on the Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market?
The market is segmented by gearbox type, including helical, planetary, and hybrid, each requiring specialized expertise for repair and refurbishment. Similarly, operational capacities from below 1 MW to above 2.5 MW dictate the scale and complexity of services. Larger turbines often feature more complex gearboxes that demand advanced techniques and higher investment in maintenance. The prevalence of certain gearbox types across various operational capacities influences the overall demand for specialized service providers.
Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Regulatory and Policy Environment Analysis
The global wind turbine gearbox repair and refurbishment market is significantly shaped by evolving regulatory frameworks and national energy policies aimed at promoting renewable energy and extending asset lifespans. Policy incentives like feed in tariffs, tax credits, and renewable portfolio standards in Europe, North America, and parts of Asia drive initial wind farm development, indirectly boosting the aftermarket for maintenance. However, specific regulations directly governing gearbox repair quality or safety are less common globally. Instead, industry standards set by organizations such as DNV GL, IEC, and relevant national bodies often dictate best practices for refurbishment processes, component sourcing, and testing. Environmental regulations regarding waste management and hazardous materials disposal during repairs also play a role, particularly in regions with stringent environmental protection laws. Local content requirements in some emerging markets can influence the supply chain for spare parts and specialized repair services. Furthermore, government support for circular economy initiatives increasingly favors repair over replacement, aligning with market growth. Safety certifications for repaired components are critical, impacting market entry and competitiveness. Insurance requirements also influence the adoption of certified repair services.
Which Emerging Technologies Are Driving New Trends in the Market?
The Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market is undergoing significant transformation driven by technological innovation. Artificial intelligence and machine learning are revolutionizing predictive maintenance, enabling early fault detection and optimizing repair schedules, thereby reducing unexpected downtime. Advanced robotics and automation are enhancing the precision and efficiency of refurbishment processes, from detailed inspections to component reassembly.
Emerging materials science offers new coatings and lubricants that extend gearbox lifespan and improve component durability post repair. Additive manufacturing, or 3D printing, facilitates rapid production of specialized or obsolete parts on demand, streamlining the supply chain for refurbishment. Furthermore, digital twin technology provides virtual models for simulating wear and testing repair strategies, improving overall maintenance effectiveness. These innovations collectively lead to more efficient, cost effective, and sustainable gearbox life extension solutions, significantly boosting market growth and operational reliability within the wind energy sector.
Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Regional Analysis
Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market
Trends, by Region

Europe Market
Revenue Share, 2025
www.makdatainsights.com
Dominant Region
Europe · 38.2% share
Europe stands as a dominant region in the Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market, commanding a substantial 38.2% market share. This significant presence is fueled by a mature wind energy sector with an extensive installed base of turbines approaching mid life or end of life. Stringent regulatory frameworks promoting renewable energy and a strong emphasis on operational efficiency further bolster demand for repair and refurbishment services. Furthermore, a well established network of specialized service providers and original equipment manufacturers across European countries contributes to the region's leadership. The continuous drive towards extending asset lifespan and optimizing performance solidifies Europe's prominent position in this crucial segment of the wind energy supply chain.
Fastest Growing Region
Asia Pacific · 9.2% CAGR
The Asia Pacific region is poised for remarkable growth in the wind turbine gearbox repair and refurbishment market, exhibiting the fastest expansion globally. A substantial Compound Annual Growth Rate of 9.2% is projected for the forecast period of 2026-2035. This accelerated growth is primarily driven by the massive ongoing and planned wind energy installations across countries like China, India, and Australia. As these wind farms mature, the demand for timely and efficient gearbox maintenance, repair, and refurbishment will escalate significantly to ensure operational longevity and minimize downtime. Government initiatives promoting renewable energy, coupled with a growing emphasis on asset optimization and cost efficiency, further fuel this upward trajectory.
Impact of Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Factors
Geopolitical stability in key manufacturing regions and shipping lanes directly impacts the wind turbine gearbox repair market. Trade disputes and tariffs on components or services, particularly between major economic blocs, can elevate repair costs and extend lead times. Furthermore, regulatory shifts favoring domestic manufacturing or repair capabilities could reshape regional market dynamics, while international collaborations on renewable energy targets might stimulate cross border repair investments.
Macroeconomic factors significantly influence market growth. High inflation can increase labor and material costs for repairs, potentially squeezing profit margins for service providers and impacting project budgets for wind farm operators. Conversely, robust economic growth and supportive governmental policies for renewable energy investment, including tax incentives and subsidies, encourage greater investment in maintaining existing wind assets, thereby boosting demand for gearbox repair and refurbishment services. Interest rate changes also affect financing costs for repair operations and new projects.
Recent Developments
- March 2025
ZF Friedrichshafen AG announced a strategic partnership with Voith Group to enhance their gearbox repair and refurbishment services for offshore wind turbines. This collaboration aims to leverage their combined expertise and service networks to offer more comprehensive and efficient solutions for the growing offshore market.
- September 2024
Vestas Wind Systems launched a new 'Smart Diagnostics' product, an advanced predictive maintenance system specifically designed for their turbine gearboxes. This initiative allows for earlier detection of potential failures, reducing downtime and optimizing refurbishment schedules for their global fleet.
- January 2025
Renold completed the acquisition of a specialized gearbox re-manufacturing facility from a smaller European competitor. This acquisition expands Renold's capacity and technological capabilities in complex planetary and helical gearbox refurbishment, particularly for older turbine models.
- July 2024
MHI Vestas Offshore Wind initiated a pilot program with a leading academic institution to develop advanced robotic inspection and repair techniques for offshore wind turbine gearboxes. This strategic initiative seeks to reduce the need for manual intervention in challenging offshore environments, improving safety and efficiency of refurbishment operations.
Key Players Analysis
Vestas, Senvion, and MHI Vestas lead as OEMs with proprietary repair capabilities. ZF Friedrichshafen and Voith Group are major independent service providers leveraging advanced gear technologies. Kincardine Offshore represents an end user driving demand. Renold and IHI Corporation supply critical components. Acciona Energy and Enel Green Power, as large wind farm operators, influence market growth through their maintenance strategies and increasing turbine fleets. Strategic initiatives focus on extending gearbox lifespan and predictive maintenance.
List of Key Companies:
- Vestas Wind Systems
- Senvion
- Kincardine Offshore Windfarm
- ZF Friedrichshafen AG
- Voith Group
- MHI Vestas Offshore Wind
- Renold
- IHI Corporation
- Acciona Energy
- Enel Green Power
- Nordex SE
- Eaton Corporation
- Baker Hughes
- GE Renewable Energy
- Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy
- Rheintacho
Report Scope and Segmentation
| Report Component | Description |
|---|---|
| Market Size (2025) | USD 11.8 Billion |
| Forecast Value (2035) | USD 23.5 Billion |
| CAGR (2026-2035) | 8.7% |
| Base Year | 2025 |
| Historical Period | 2020-2025 |
| Forecast Period | 2026-2035 |
| Segments Covered |
|
| Regional Analysis |
|
Table of Contents:
List of Figures
List of Tables
Table 1: Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Service Type, 2020-2035
Table 2: Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Gearbox Type, 2020-2035
Table 3: Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use, 2020-2035
Table 4: Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Operational Capacity, 2020-2035
Table 5: Global Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Region, 2020-2035
Table 6: North America Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Service Type, 2020-2035
Table 7: North America Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Gearbox Type, 2020-2035
Table 8: North America Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use, 2020-2035
Table 9: North America Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Operational Capacity, 2020-2035
Table 10: North America Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country, 2020-2035
Table 11: Europe Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Service Type, 2020-2035
Table 12: Europe Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Gearbox Type, 2020-2035
Table 13: Europe Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use, 2020-2035
Table 14: Europe Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Operational Capacity, 2020-2035
Table 15: Europe Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035
Table 16: Asia Pacific Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Service Type, 2020-2035
Table 17: Asia Pacific Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Gearbox Type, 2020-2035
Table 18: Asia Pacific Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use, 2020-2035
Table 19: Asia Pacific Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Operational Capacity, 2020-2035
Table 20: Asia Pacific Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035
Table 21: Latin America Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Service Type, 2020-2035
Table 22: Latin America Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Gearbox Type, 2020-2035
Table 23: Latin America Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use, 2020-2035
Table 24: Latin America Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Operational Capacity, 2020-2035
Table 25: Latin America Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035
Table 26: Middle East & Africa Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Service Type, 2020-2035
Table 27: Middle East & Africa Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Gearbox Type, 2020-2035
Table 28: Middle East & Africa Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by End Use, 2020-2035
Table 29: Middle East & Africa Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Operational Capacity, 2020-2035
Table 30: Middle East & Africa Wind Turbine Gearbox Repair and Refurbishment Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035
