
Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Insights, Size, and Forecast By Transmission Type (Automatic Transmission, Manual Transmission, Dual-Clutch Transmission), By Electric Motor Type (Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor, Induction Motor, Switched Reluctance Motor), By Grade of Vehicle (Light-Duty Vehicles, Medium-Duty Vehicles, Heavy-Duty Vehicles), By Application (Commercial Trucks, Buses, Construction Equipment), By Region (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East and Africa), Key Companies, Competitive Analysis, Trends, and Projections for 2026-2035
Key Market Insights
Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market is projected to grow from USD 3.8 Billion in 2025 to USD 24.5 Billion by 2035, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 16.4% from 2026 through 2035. This market encompasses the specialized transmission systems designed for heavy duty electric vehicles, including commercial trucks, buses, construction equipment, and mining vehicles. These transmissions are critical for optimizing the power delivery from electric motors to the wheels, enhancing efficiency, range, and overall vehicle performance. Key market drivers include stringent global emission regulations compelling manufacturers towards electrification, the rising demand for fuel-efficient and low-emission transportation solutions, and substantial government incentives and subsidies promoting EV adoption. Furthermore, advancements in battery technology, electric motor design, and power electronics are making heavy duty EVs more viable and attractive. The market is also propelled by increasing corporate sustainability goals and the growing operational cost benefits associated with electric fleets, such as reduced fuel consumption and lower maintenance requirements. However, the high initial capital investment for heavy duty EVs and their associated charging infrastructure, along with concerns regarding range anxiety and charging time, represent significant market restraints.
Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Value (USD Billion) Analysis, 2025-2035

2025 - 2035
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Important trends shaping the market include the development of multi-speed transmissions for heavy duty EVs to improve torque delivery and top-end speed, moving beyond traditional single-speed designs. There is also a strong focus on integrating advanced telematics and predictive maintenance capabilities into transmission systems to maximize uptime and operational efficiency. The market is witnessing increased collaboration between traditional transmission manufacturers and EV powertrain specialists to accelerate product innovation. Furthermore, the development of modular and scalable transmission solutions is gaining traction, allowing for greater customization and adaptability across various heavy duty vehicle platforms. Market opportunities lie in the expansion of public and private charging infrastructure, the development of specialized transmissions for off-highway heavy duty vehicles, and the emergence of battery-swapping technologies that could alleviate range anxiety. There is also a significant opportunity in providing retrofit solutions for existing internal combustion engine heavy duty vehicles.
Asia Pacific stands out as the dominant region in the global heavy duty EV transmission market, primarily due to its robust manufacturing base, significant government support for electrification initiatives, and the large-scale adoption of electric buses and commercial vehicles in countries such as China. This region is also the fastest growing, driven by rapidly urbanizing populations, increasing demand for sustainable logistics, and aggressive targets for reducing carbon emissions. The commercial trucks segment is the leading application, holding the largest share, as fleet operators increasingly invest in electric trucks for urban delivery and regional haulage to comply with environmental regulations and optimize operational costs. Key players like Bosch, Dana Incorporated, Volvo Group, Cummins, Allison Transmission, and Eaton Corporation are actively pursuing strategies such as strategic partnerships, mergers and acquisitions, and significant investments in research and development to expand their product portfolios and strengthen their market presence. These companies are focused on developing innovative transmission technologies that enhance efficiency, durability, and integration with advanced electric powertrains to meet the evolving demands of the heavy duty EV market.
Quick Stats
Market Size (2025):
USD 3.8 BillionProjected Market Size (2035):
USD 24.5 BillionLeading Segment:
Commercial Trucks (62.8% Share)Dominant Region (2025):
Asia Pacific (48.2% Share)CAGR (2026-2035):
16.4%
Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Emerging Trends and Insights
Modular Powertrain Architectures
Modular powertrain architectures are a defining trend in the global heavy duty electric vehicle transmission market, offering unparalleled flexibility and scalability. Manufacturers are designing powertrains in separable blocks, such as distinct motor modules, inverter units, and reduction gears. This approach facilitates customization for diverse vehicle applications, from urban refuse trucks to long haul articulated lorries, by simply selecting and integrating appropriate modules. It also streamlines production, allows for easier upgrades to incorporate new technologies like advanced battery chemistries or more powerful motors, and simplifies maintenance through component replacement rather than full system overhauls. This adaptability accelerates innovation cycles, reduces development costs, and shortens time to market for new electric heavy duty vehicles, ultimately driving the electrification of commercial transportation.
AI Driven Predictive Maintenance
AI driven predictive maintenance is transforming the global heavy duty EV transmission market by preemptively addressing component wear. Advanced algorithms analyze real time sensor data from transmissions, including temperature, vibration, and current draw. This continuous monitoring allows for the detection of subtle anomalies indicative of potential failures long before they manifest. Instead of scheduled maintenance or reactive repairs, AI predicts when specific transmission components, like gears or bearings, are approaching their operational limits. This enables targeted, just in time servicing, replacing parts only when necessary. Consequently, fleet operators experience minimized downtime, optimized maintenance schedules, and extended transmission lifespan. This proactive approach significantly enhances operational efficiency and reliability for electric heavy duty vehicles worldwide.
Hydrogen Hybrid Transmission Integration
Hydrogen Hybrid Transmission Integration is a growing trend in the global heavy duty EV transmission market, signaling a strategic shift towards enhanced range and payload capacity without full reliance on battery only solutions. This integration involves combining electric transmissions with compact, onboard hydrogen fuel cells or internal combustion engines. It leverages the efficiency and instant torque of electric drives while addressing the limitations of battery recharging infrastructure and energy density for long haul or high power applications. The design prioritizes the seamless interplay between hydrogen power generation and electric motor operation optimizing fuel consumption and power delivery. This approach offers significant advantages for vehicles requiring extended operational durations or operating in remote locations where electric charging is impractical. The trend reflects a desire for greater operational flexibility and reduced downtime for heavy duty vehicles.
What are the Key Drivers Shaping the Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market
Electrification & Emission Regulations Push
A powerful surge in global electrification and emission regulations is fundamentally reshaping the heavy duty vehicle landscape, making it a primary driver for the electric vehicle transmission market. Governments worldwide are enacting increasingly stringent mandates to curb greenhouse gas emissions and improve air quality. This legislative pressure, coupled with growing environmental consciousness among corporations and the public, compels manufacturers of heavy duty trucks, buses, and other specialized vehicles to transition away from traditional internal combustion engines. Consequently, there is a burgeoning demand for sophisticated multi speed transmissions specifically engineered for electric powertrains, which optimize range, efficiency, and performance for heavy duty applications. This regulatory push is a key catalyst for market expansion.
Advancements in EV Powertrain Technology
Advancements in EV powertrain technology are a fundamental driver. This involves breakthroughs in electric motors, power electronics, and battery chemistry, leading to more efficient, powerful, and reliable electric drivetrains for heavy duty vehicles. Enhanced motor designs offer higher torque density and broader operational efficiency, reducing energy consumption and extending range. Innovations in silicon carbide and gallium nitride power electronics enable smaller, lighter, and more efficient inverters and converters, minimizing power losses. Progress in battery technology provides higher energy density, faster charging capabilities, and improved longevity, making electric heavy duty trucks and buses increasingly practical and economically viable. These continuous improvements collectively enhance the overall performance and attractiveness of heavy duty electric vehicles, accelerating their adoption across various sectors.
Rising Demand for Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicles
A significant driver in the global heavy-duty electric vehicle transmission market is the increasing demand for these sustainable transport solutions. Governments worldwide are implementing stricter emission regulations and offering incentives for the adoption of zero-emission vehicles. Concurrently, businesses are recognizing the long-term cost savings associated with electric fleets, including lower fuel and maintenance expenses. Growing environmental awareness among corporations and consumers further fuels this transition. As technology advances, the range, payload capacity, and charging infrastructure for heavy-duty electric vehicles improve, making them more viable and attractive alternatives to traditional diesel trucks. This combined push from regulation, economics, and environmental consciousness creates a strong and continuous upward trend in the call for heavy-duty electric vehicles, directly impacting the transmission market.
Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Restraints
Charging Infrastructure Limitations
A significant hurdle in the global heavy duty electric vehicle transmission market stems from the lack of widespread charging infrastructure. Heavy duty EVs, with their massive battery capacities, require specialized, high power charging stations that are not readily available across extensive freight routes. Existing infrastructure, primarily designed for passenger vehicles or limited industrial applications, cannot adequately support the charging demands of long haul trucks or construction machinery. This scarcity creates range anxiety for operators, limiting the practical operational scope and adoption rate of electric heavy duty vehicles. The substantial investment and time required to build out a robust, high capacity charging network presents a formidable barrier to market growth, impeding the transition from traditional diesel powertrains to electric alternatives.
High Development and Production Costs
High development and production costs present a significant barrier in the global heavy duty EV transmission market. Designing and validating new transmission systems for electric vehicles requires substantial investment in research, engineering talent, and specialized testing equipment. The unique demands of heavy duty applications, such as high torque loads, extended range requirements, and challenging operating environments, necessitate robust and innovative solutions. This often involves new material science, advanced manufacturing processes, and complex control systems, all of which contribute to elevated development expenses. Furthermore, establishing large scale production facilities for these sophisticated components entails considerable capital outlay for tooling, machinery, and supply chain infrastructure. These cumulative costs can deter potential entrants and limit the pace of innovation for established players.
Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Opportunities
High-Efficiency Multi-Speed Transmissions for Enhanced Range and Performance in Heavy-Duty EVs
Heavy-duty electric vehicles demand robust power delivery and extended operational range, challenges often unmet by conventional single-speed powertrains. This creates a significant opportunity for high-efficiency multi-speed transmissions. These advanced systems allow electric motors to operate within their optimal efficiency band across a wider range of speeds and loads.
By precisely matching motor output to vehicle requirements, multi-speed transmissions dramatically enhance overall energy efficiency. This directly translates into greater vehicle range per charge, alleviating range anxiety for fleet operators and reducing operational downtime. Furthermore, they deliver superior performance capabilities, including improved acceleration, enhanced gradeability for climbing inclines, and better sustained speeds under heavy loads.
Such transmissions are crucial for heavy-duty applications like long-haul trucking, public transit buses, and construction machinery, where consistent power and reliability are paramount. Developing and deploying these technologies offers a competitive edge, accelerating the widespread adoption of electric heavy-duty vehicles by directly addressing their fundamental efficiency and performance needs.
Robust and Power-Dense Transmission Systems for Vocational and Off-Highway Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicles
The transition to electrification in heavy-duty vocational and off-highway vehicle sectors presents a compelling opportunity for advanced transmission systems. Vehicles operating in demanding environments such as construction, agriculture, and mining require transmissions engineered for extreme loads, high torque, and harsh conditions, far exceeding typical on-road requirements.
The core opportunity lies in developing robust and power-dense electric vehicle transmission systems specifically tailored for these challenges. Robustness ensures exceptional durability and reliability, critical for minimizing costly downtime and maximizing operational efficiency in vital industrial applications. Power density is equally crucial, enabling maximum power output from compact, lightweight units, which optimizes vehicle packaging, extends range, and enhances overall performance for heavy-duty tasks.
Addressing this gap means designing transmissions that withstand severe stress, deliver consistent power, and maintain integrity under intense usage. This market segment demands solutions that facilitate the practical and efficient electrification of heavy machinery. Manufacturers who can supply superior, purpose-built electric transmissions will capture significant market share by enabling the widespread adoption of electric heavy-duty vehicles, particularly in rapidly expanding regions like Asia Pacific.
Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Segmentation Analysis
Key Market Segments
By Transmission Type
- •Automatic Transmission
- •Manual Transmission
- •Dual-Clutch Transmission
By Electric Motor Type
- •Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor
- •Induction Motor
- •Switched Reluctance Motor
By Application
- •Commercial Trucks
- •Buses
- •Construction Equipment
By Grade of Vehicle
- •Light-Duty Vehicles
- •Medium-Duty Vehicles
- •Heavy-Duty Vehicles
Segment Share By Transmission Type
Share, By Transmission Type, 2025 (%)
- Automatic Transmission
- Dual-Clutch Transmission
- Manual Transmission

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Why are Commercial Trucks dominating the Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market?
Commercial Trucks represent the largest share due to their critical role in logistics and freight transportation, where efficiency and robust performance are paramount. The electrification of these fleets is driven by stringent emission regulations and operational cost savings through reduced fuel consumption. This sector demands transmissions capable of handling high torque and continuous heavy loads, propelling significant investment and adoption of EV transmission technologies tailored for long haul and urban delivery applications.
What is the significance of the Automatic Transmission segment within heavy duty EVs?
Automatic Transmissions are likely highly preferred within heavy duty electric vehicles due to their ease of operation and ability to optimize power delivery from electric motors across varied load conditions. This contributes to improved driver comfort and reduced fatigue, especially crucial in demanding applications like long haul trucking and urban bus routes. Their integration simplifies the powertrain, offering smooth acceleration and deceleration, which enhances overall vehicle performance and efficiency.
How does the Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor segment influence transmission choices?
The Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor segment is pivotal because these motors offer high power density and efficiency, making them ideal for heavy duty applications requiring sustained high performance. Transmissions paired with these motors must effectively manage their instantaneous torque delivery and broad operational speeds. The motor’s characteristics often dictate specific gear ratios and robust transmission designs to maximize energy utilization and provide optimal drivability across the diverse applications within the heavy duty EV market.
Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Regulatory and Policy Environment Analysis
Global heavy duty EV transmission market expansion is robustly influenced by escalating decarbonization mandates and stringent emissions standards for commercial vehicles. Europe leads with ambitious Green Deal initiatives and CO2 reduction targets, directly fostering electrification across its heavy duty fleet. North America implements increasing state level zero emission vehicle mandates alongside federal clean transportation programs, stimulating EV development and adoption. Asia Pacific, particularly China, leverages robust new energy vehicle credits, substantial subsidies, and significant infrastructure investments to accelerate fleet electrification. Governments worldwide offer diverse financial incentives including tax credits, purchase subsidies, and grants for manufacturers and fleet operators transitioning to electric heavy duty vehicles. Policies promoting charging infrastructure development, standardization of vehicle components, and battery technology advancements further support market expansion. This regulatory push creates a predictable yet competitive landscape, encouraging Original Equipment Manufacturers to invest heavily in advanced EV transmission technologies focusing on efficiency, durability, and cost effectiveness.
Which Emerging Technologies Are Driving New Trends in the Market?
The global heavy duty electric vehicle transmission market is driven by continuous innovation aimed at enhancing efficiency, power delivery, and reliability. Key emerging technologies include multi speed transmissions, essential for optimizing range and torque across diverse applications like trucking and construction. These advanced gearboxes move beyond simple single speed designs, integrating sophisticated power electronics and AI powered control algorithms for predictive shifting and energy management.
Further advancements involve highly integrated e-axles, combining electric motors, inverters, and transmissions into compact, robust units. This reduces complexity, weight, and manufacturing costs while improving overall system efficiency. Material science innovations are also crucial, leading to lighter, more durable gears and casings, alongside advanced thermal management systems to handle high power demands. Software defined transmissions are also gaining traction, allowing for over the air updates and customizable performance profiles, ensuring future proofing and adaptability to evolving operational needs. These innovations collectively propel market expansion and performance breakthroughs.
Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Regional Analysis
Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market
Trends, by Region

Asia-Pacific Market
Revenue Share, 2025
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Dominant Region
Asia Pacific · 48.2% share
Asia Pacific emerges as the dominant region in the Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market, commanding a substantial 48.2% market share. This significant lead is propelled by several key factors. Rapid industrialization and a growing focus on sustainable transportation solutions across countries like China, India, and Japan are strong drivers. Government initiatives and robust policy support promoting electric vehicle adoption and manufacturing further bolster this growth. Additionally, the presence of major heavy duty vehicle manufacturers and a mature automotive supply chain in the region contribute significantly to its market supremacy. The sheer scale of freight and logistics operations within Asia Pacific also creates a substantial demand for efficient and environmentally friendly heavy duty electric vehicles, solidifying the region's top position.
Fastest Growing Region
Asia Pacific · 28.5% CAGR
Asia Pacific emerges as the fastest growing region in the global heavy duty EV transmission market, exhibiting a remarkable CAGR of 28.5% during the forecast period of 2026 to 2035. This rapid expansion is primarily driven by an increasing focus on decarbonization and stringent emission regulations across countries like China, India, and Japan. Governments are actively promoting electric vehicle adoption through substantial subsidies and incentives for both manufacturers and consumers of heavy duty EVs. Furthermore, the burgeoning logistics and transportation sectors in these economies demand more efficient and environmentally friendly solutions, fueling the transition towards electric fleets. Technological advancements in battery capacity and charging infrastructure also contribute significantly to the region's accelerated growth.
Impact of Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Factors
Geopolitical shifts are accelerating the Heavy Duty EV Transmission market's growth, driven by stringent emissions regulations in North America and Europe, pushing fleet electrification. China's dominant position in battery production and EV manufacturing creates both opportunities for supply chain integration and risks of overreliance. Trade tensions and localized production mandates could fragment the market, forcing manufacturers to diversify their manufacturing footprints to mitigate supply chain vulnerabilities and access specific regional markets. Government incentives for EV adoption and charging infrastructure development are critical, and their consistency across regions directly impacts market penetration rates and technology adoption curves for commercial vehicles.
Macroeconomic factors significantly influence demand, with economic growth driving freight activity and demand for new trucks, including electric ones. High interest rates can increase the cost of financing for fleet operators, potentially slowing EV adoption despite long term operational cost savings. Fluctuations in raw material prices, particularly for critical battery components and rare earth metals, impact manufacturing costs for EV transmissions. The overall stability of global supply chains and the pace of technological innovation in battery and motor technology will determine the rate of transition from conventional to electric powertrains in heavy duty segments.
Recent Developments
- March 2025
Dana Incorporated announced a strategic partnership with a leading European electric truck manufacturer to co-develop a new generation of integrated e-Axle systems for heavy-duty applications. This collaboration aims to accelerate the deployment of highly efficient and robust electric powertrains across the EU market.
- January 2025
Cummins unveiled its latest modular electric powertrain platform, specifically designed for various heavy-duty commercial vehicle applications, including refuse trucks and long-haul transportation. This flexible platform allows for scalable battery configurations and integrates advanced transmission control software for optimized energy management.
- February 2025
Volvo Group completed the acquisition of a minority stake in a promising Silicon Valley startup specializing in AI-driven predictive maintenance for EV powertrains. This strategic investment is expected to enhance Volvo's uptime and operational efficiency for its growing electric heavy-duty fleet by leveraging advanced analytics.
- April 2025
Allison Transmission launched a new series of fully integrated electric axles for medium and heavy-duty trucks, featuring enhanced power density and a compact design. This product launch expands Allison's eGen Power portfolio, offering a broader range of solutions for electric commercial vehicles seeking robust and reliable driveline systems.
Key Players Analysis
Bosch, Dana, and Eaton are key players in the Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market, offering innovative electric drivetrain solutions and hybrid technologies. Volvo, Cummins, and Daimler focus on integrated electric powertrains for their heavy duty vehicles, while Allison Transmission adapts its expertise to EV transmissions. Strategic collaborations and continuous R&D by these companies are crucial drivers for market growth, addressing the increasing demand for high performance, efficient, and sustainable heavy duty electric transport.
List of Key Companies:
- Bosch
- Dana Incorporated
- Volvo Group
- Cummins
- Allison Transmission
- Magna International
- Eaton Corporation
- Paccar Inc
- Wabco Holdings
- Daimler AG
- BorgWarner
- Mann + Hummel
- Geely Automobile
- ZF Friedrichshafen
- Scania AB
Report Scope and Segmentation
| Report Component | Description |
|---|---|
| Market Size (2025) | USD 3.8 Billion |
| Forecast Value (2035) | USD 24.5 Billion |
| CAGR (2026-2035) | 16.4% |
| Base Year | 2025 |
| Historical Period | 2020-2025 |
| Forecast Period | 2026-2035 |
| Segments Covered |
|
| Regional Analysis |
|
Table of Contents:
List of Figures
List of Tables
Table 1: Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Transmission Type, 2020-2035
Table 2: Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Electric Motor Type, 2020-2035
Table 3: Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 4: Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Grade of Vehicle, 2020-2035
Table 5: Global Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Region, 2020-2035
Table 6: North America Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Transmission Type, 2020-2035
Table 7: North America Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Electric Motor Type, 2020-2035
Table 8: North America Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 9: North America Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Grade of Vehicle, 2020-2035
Table 10: North America Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country, 2020-2035
Table 11: Europe Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Transmission Type, 2020-2035
Table 12: Europe Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Electric Motor Type, 2020-2035
Table 13: Europe Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 14: Europe Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Grade of Vehicle, 2020-2035
Table 15: Europe Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035
Table 16: Asia Pacific Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Transmission Type, 2020-2035
Table 17: Asia Pacific Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Electric Motor Type, 2020-2035
Table 18: Asia Pacific Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 19: Asia Pacific Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Grade of Vehicle, 2020-2035
Table 20: Asia Pacific Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035
Table 21: Latin America Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Transmission Type, 2020-2035
Table 22: Latin America Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Electric Motor Type, 2020-2035
Table 23: Latin America Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 24: Latin America Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Grade of Vehicle, 2020-2035
Table 25: Latin America Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035
Table 26: Middle East & Africa Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Transmission Type, 2020-2035
Table 27: Middle East & Africa Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Electric Motor Type, 2020-2035
Table 28: Middle East & Africa Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Application, 2020-2035
Table 29: Middle East & Africa Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Grade of Vehicle, 2020-2035
Table 30: Middle East & Africa Heavy Duty EV Transmission Market Revenue (USD billion) Forecast, by Country/ Sub-region, 2020-2035
